‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: Hostilities on Iran Constricts India's LPG Supplies.

People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for domestic use in an Indian city
People queue up to buy fuel canisters for domestic use in a major Indian city.

The shockwaves of a war being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now being felt in India's kitchens.

As US-Israeli strikes on Iran hinder energy deliveries through the key maritime chokepoint, availability of cooking gas are dwindling across India, forcing restaurants to cut menus, reduce operating times and in some cases close completely.

Social media is filled with video clips showing crowds outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as anxieties over fuel supplies escalate. Restaurant kitchens appear the worst hit: the sharpest squeeze is in restaurant kitchens.

"The situation is dire. Kitchen fuel simply cannot be found," says a representative of the a major restaurant body.

Most eateries run either on business-grade gas tanks or piped gas, and the shortages are now being felt across the country. "Many restaurants have closed - some in the capital, many in the southern region. People are adopting solid fuels and induction stoves to keep food preparation going."

City-Specific Fallout

In Mumbai, media reports say up to a 20% of hospitality businesses are already completely or partially closed as cylinder availability tighten. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some eateries say their cylinder inventory have dwindled with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no food items - it is extremely difficult. Businesses are going to suffer," says a restaurant owner in Bengaluru.

A closed restaurant shutter in an Indian city
A food joint in a southern city which has ceased operations due to a lack of LPG.

Restaurant owners are seeking alternatives. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are opening only for dinner and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a dynamic scenario."

Retailers report a surge in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are facing stockouts.

Government Stance

Yet, the officials states there is adequate supply.

India has more than 30 crore domestic LPG users and authorities say cylinders are being redirected to households as tensions from the Middle East conflict ripple through energy markets.

About 60% of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about 90% of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the vital passage now largely blocked by the hostilities.

The petroleum ministry says that it instructed refineries to boost LPG output for home needs, lifting domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being reserved for vital industries such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "just and open".

"Some panic booking and accumulation has been caused by misinformation. The standard supply timeline for household cylinders remains about under three days," says a senior official.

Growing Panic

Now the concern is extending beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a extended procession of scooters outside a fuel station. "The panic is real," the text reads.

An oil tanker at sea representing imports
India sources up to 90% of the crude it uses, leaving it highly exposed to interruptions in worldwide shipments.

According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader petroleum stocks may be exaggerated.

India imports 90% of its petroleum. Around 50% of its crude oil imports - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Gulf countries.

Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the deficit could be partly made up by higher imports of Russian petroleum, according to a industry commentator.

Based on shipping data and credible market sources, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, reducing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.

"Around 25-30 million Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.

Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness

The key weakness is kitchen fuel, commentators observe.

India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the chokepoint.

Refineries can adjust processes to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only increase domestic supply to about around half of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.

In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through diversification. Processed petroleum stocks remains largely sufficient. Kitchen fuel stocks is the key factor to track in the coming weeks."

What may be heightening the panic on the ground is not just limited availability but uneven distribution - and the usual problem of panic buying.

An industry representative claims exploitative practices.

"Suppliers are exploiting the situation - illegally trading canisters and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold to the highest bidder."

For now, India's petroleum stocks may be protected by international market dynamics. But in restaurants across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next refill.

Tracy Phillips
Tracy Phillips

Elena is a certified gemologist with over 15 years of experience in diamond trading and investment analysis, specializing in market forecasting.